G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w21401
来源IDWorking Paper 21401
Nonparametric Counterfactual Predictions in Neoclassical Models of International Trade
Rodrigo Adao; Arnaud Costinot; Dave Donaldson
发表日期2015-07-27
出版年2015
语种英语
摘要We develop a methodology to construct nonparametric counterfactual predictions, free of functional-form restrictions on preferences and technology, in neoclassical models of international trade. First, we establish the equivalence between such models and reduced exchange models in which countries directly exchange factor services. This equivalence implies that, for an arbitrary change in trade costs, counterfactual changes in the factor content of trade, factor prices, and welfare only depend on the shape of a reduced factor demand system. Second, we provide sufficient conditions under which estimates of this system can be recovered nonparametrically. Together, these results offer a strict generalization of the parametric approach used in so-called gravity models. Finally, we use China's recent integration into the world economy to illustrate the feasibility and potential benefits of our approach.
主题International Economics ; Trade
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w21401
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
引用统计
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/579076
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Rodrigo Adao,Arnaud Costinot,Dave Donaldson. Nonparametric Counterfactual Predictions in Neoclassical Models of International Trade. 2015.
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