G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w21445
来源IDWorking Paper 21445
Not so Disconnected: Exchange Rates and the Capital Stock
Tarek Alexander Hassan; Thomas Mertens; Tony Zhang
发表日期2015-08-17
出版年2015
语种英语
摘要We investigate the link between stochastic properties of exchange rates and differences in capital-output ratios across industrialized countries. To this end, we endogenize capital accumulation within a standard model of exchange rate determination with nontraded goods. The model predicts that currencies of countries that are more systemic for the world economy (countries that face particularly volatile shocks or account for a large share of world GDP) appreciate when the price of traded goods in word markets is high. These currencies are better hedges against consumption risk faced by international investors because they appreciate in "bad" states of the world. As a consequence, more systemic countries face a lower cost of capital and accumulate more capital per worker. We estimate our model using data from seven industrialized countries with freely floating exchange rate regimes between 1984-2010 and show that cross-country variation in the stochastic properties of exchange rates accounts for 72% of the cross-country variation in capital-output ratios. In this sense, the stochastic properties of exchange rates map to fundamentals in the way predicted by the model.
主题International Economics ; International Finance ; Financial Economics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w21445
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
引用统计
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/579120
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Tarek Alexander Hassan,Thomas Mertens,Tony Zhang. Not so Disconnected: Exchange Rates and the Capital Stock. 2015.
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