| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w21459 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 21459 |
| From Local to Global: External Validity in a Fertility Natural Experiment | |
| Rajeev Dehejia; Cristian Pop-Eleches; Cyrus Samii | |
| 发表日期 | 2015-08-17 |
| 出版年 | 2015 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We study issues related to external validity for treatment effects using over 100 replications of the Angrist and Evans (1998) natural experiment on the effects of sibling sex composition on fertility and labor supply. The replications are based on census data from around the world going back to 1960. We decompose sources of error in predicting treatment effects in external contexts in terms of macro and micro sources of variation. In our empirical setting, we find that macro covariates dominate over micro covariates for reducing errors in predicting treatments, an issue that past studies of external validity have been unable to evaluate. We develop methods for two applications to evidence-based decision-making, including determining where to locate an experiment and whether policy-makers should commission new experiments or rely on an existing evidence base for making a policy decision. |
| 主题 | Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Experimental Design ; International Economics ; Globalization and International Relations ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w21459 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/579134 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Rajeev Dehejia,Cristian Pop-Eleches,Cyrus Samii. From Local to Global: External Validity in a Fertility Natural Experiment. 2015. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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