G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w21460
来源IDWorking Paper 21460
Long Run Trends in Unemployment and Labor Force Participation in China
Shuaizhang Feng; Yingyao Hu; Robert Moffitt
发表日期2015-08-17
出版年2015
语种英语
摘要Unemployment rates in countries across the world are typically positively correlated with GDP. China is an unusual outlier from the pattern, with abnormally low, and suspiciously stable, unemployment rates according to its official statistics. This paper calculates, for the first time, China’s unemployment rate from 1988 to 2009 using a more reliable, nationally representative household survey in China. The unemployment rates we calculate differ dramatically from those supplied in official data and are much more consistent with what is known about China’s labor market and how it has changed over time in response to structural changes and other significant events. The rate averaged 3.9% in 1988-1995, when the labor market was highly regulated and dominated by state-owned enterprises, but rose sharply during the period of mass layoff from 1995- 2002, reaching an average of 10.9% in the subperiod from 2002 to 2009. We can also calculate labor force participation rates, which are not available in official statistics at all. We find that they declined throughout the whole period, particularly in 1995-2002 when the unemployment rate increased most significantly. We also report results for different demographic groups, different regions, and different cohorts.
主题Labor Economics ; Unemployment and Immigration ; Development and Growth ; Development ; Country Studies
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w21460
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/579135
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GB/T 7714
Shuaizhang Feng,Yingyao Hu,Robert Moffitt. Long Run Trends in Unemployment and Labor Force Participation in China. 2015.
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