全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Long Run Trends in Unemployment and Labor Force Participation in China

G2TT

来源类型	Working Paper
规范类型	报告
DOI	10.3386/w21460
来源ID	Working Paper 21460
	Long Run Trends in Unemployment and Labor Force Participation in China
	Shuaizhang Feng; Yingyao Hu; Robert Moffitt
发表日期	2015-08-17
出版年	2015
语种	英语
摘要	Unemployment rates in countries across the world are typically positively correlated with GDP. China is an unusual outlier from the pattern, with abnormally low, and suspiciously stable, unemployment rates according to its official statistics. This paper calculates, for the first time, China’s unemployment rate from 1988 to 2009 using a more reliable, nationally representative household survey in China. The unemployment rates we calculate differ dramatically from those supplied in official data and are much more consistent with what is known about China’s labor market and how it has changed over time in response to structural changes and other significant events. The rate averaged 3.9% in 1988-1995, when the labor market was highly regulated and dominated by state-owned enterprises, but rose sharply during the period of mass layoff from 1995- 2002, reaching an average of 10.9% in the subperiod from 2002 to 2009. We can also calculate labor force participation rates, which are not available in official statistics at all. We find that they declined throughout the whole period, particularly in 1995-2002 when the unemployment rate increased most significantly. We also report results for different demographic groups, different regions, and different cohorts.
主题	Labor Economics ; Unemployment and Immigration ; Development and Growth ; Development ; Country Studies
URL	https://www.nber.org/papers/w21460
来源智库	National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
引用统计
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/579135
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Shuaizhang Feng,Yingyao Hu,Robert Moffitt. Long Run Trends in Unemployment and Labor Force Participation in China. 2015.