| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w21547 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 21547 |
| Are We Approaching an Economic Singularity? Information Technology and the Future of Economic Growth | |
| William D. Nordhaus | |
| 发表日期 | 2015-09-14 |
| 出版年 | 2015 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | What are the prospects for long-run economic growth? The present study looks at a recently launched hypothesis, which I label Singularity. The idea here is that rapid growth in computation and artificial intelligence will cross some boundary or Singularity after which economic growth will accelerate sharply as an ever-accelerating pace of improvements cascade through the economy. The paper develops a growth model that features Singularity and presents several tests of whether we are rapidly approaching Singularity. The key question for Singularity is the substitutability between information and conventional inputs. The tests suggest that the Singularity is not near. |
| 主题 | Development and Growth ; Innovation and R& ; D ; Growth and Productivity |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w21547 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/579222 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | William D. Nordhaus. Are We Approaching an Economic Singularity? Information Technology and the Future of Economic Growth. 2015. |
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