| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w21574 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 21574 |
| What is a Sustainable Public Debt? | |
| Pablo D'; Erasmo; Enrique G. Mendoza; Jing Zhang | |
| 发表日期 | 2015-09-21 |
| 出版年 | 2015 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | The question of what is a sustainable public debt is paramount in the macroeconomic analysis of fiscal policy. This question is usually posed as asking whether the outstanding public debt and its projected path are consistent with those of the government's revenues and expenditures (i.e. whether fiscal solvency conditions hold). We identify critical flaws in the traditional approach to evaluate debt sustainability, and examine three alternative approaches that provide useful econometric and model-simulation tools to analyze debt sustainability. The first approach is Bohn's non-structural empirical framework based on a fiscal reaction function that characterizes the dynamics of sustainable debt and primary balances. The second is a structural approach based on a calibrated dynamic general equilibrium framework with a fully specified fiscal sector, which we use to quantify the positive and normative effects of fiscal policies aimed at restoring fiscal solvency in response to changes in debt. The third approach deviates from the others in assuming that governments cannot commit to repay their domestic debt, and can thus optimally decide to default even if debt is sustainable in terms of fiscal solvency. We use these three approaches to analyze debt sustainability in the United States and Europe after the recent surge in public debt following the 2008 crisis, and find that all three raise serious questions. |
| 主题 | Macroeconomics ; Fiscal Policy ; International Economics ; International Finance ; International Macroeconomics ; Public Economics ; Taxation ; National Fiscal Issues |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w21574 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/579249 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Pablo D',Erasmo,Enrique G. Mendoza,et al. What is a Sustainable Public Debt?. 2015. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
