G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w21575
来源IDWorking Paper 21575
Risk, Unemployment, and the Stock Market: A Rare-Event-Based Explanation of Labor Market Volatility
Mete Kilic; Jessica A. Wachter
发表日期2015-09-21
出版年2015
语种英语
摘要What is the driving force behind the cyclical behavior of unemployment and vacancies? What is the relation between job-creation incentives of firms and stock market valuations? We answer these questions in a model with time-varying risk, modeled as a small and variable probability of an economic disaster. A high probability implies greater risk and lower future growth, lowering the incentives of firms to invest in hiring. During periods of high risk, stock market valuations are low and unemployment rises. The model thus explains volatility in equity and labor markets, and the relation between the two.
主题Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Business Cycles ; Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w21575
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
引用统计
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/579250
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Mete Kilic,Jessica A. Wachter. Risk, Unemployment, and the Stock Market: A Rare-Event-Based Explanation of Labor Market Volatility. 2015.
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