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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w21575 |
来源ID | Working Paper 21575 |
Risk, Unemployment, and the Stock Market: A Rare-Event-Based Explanation of Labor Market Volatility | |
Mete Kilic; Jessica A. Wachter | |
发表日期 | 2015-09-21 |
出版年 | 2015 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | What is the driving force behind the cyclical behavior of unemployment and vacancies? What is the relation between job-creation incentives of firms and stock market valuations? We answer these questions in a model with time-varying risk, modeled as a small and variable probability of an economic disaster. A high probability implies greater risk and lower future growth, lowering the incentives of firms to invest in hiring. During periods of high risk, stock market valuations are low and unemployment rises. The model thus explains volatility in equity and labor markets, and the relation between the two. |
主题 | Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Business Cycles ; Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w21575 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/579250 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Mete Kilic,Jessica A. Wachter. Risk, Unemployment, and the Stock Market: A Rare-Event-Based Explanation of Labor Market Volatility. 2015. |
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