全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Local Instruments, Global Extrapolation: External Validity of the Labor Supply-Fertility Local Average Treatment Effect

G2TT

来源类型	Working Paper
规范类型	报告
DOI	10.3386/w21663
来源ID	Working Paper 21663
	Local Instruments, Global Extrapolation: External Validity of the Labor Supply-Fertility Local Average Treatment Effect
	James Bisbee; Rajeev Dehejia; Cristian Pop-Eleches; Cyrus Samii
发表日期	2015-10-26
出版年	2015
语种	英语
摘要	We investigate whether local average treatment effects (LATE’s) can be extrapolated to new settings. We extend the analysis and framework of Dehejia, Pop-Eleches, and Samii (2015), which examines the external validity of the Angrist-Evans (1998) reduced-form natural experiment of having two first children of the same sex on the probability of an incremental child and on mother’s labor supply. We estimate Angrist and Evans's (1998) same-sex instrumental variable strategy in 139 country-year censuses using data from the Integrated Public Use Micro Sample International. We compare each country-year's LATE, as a hypothetical target, to the LATE extrapolated from other country-years (using the approach suggested by Angrist and Fernandez-Val 2010). Paralleling our findings in Dehejia, Pop-Eleches, and Samii (2015), we find that with a sufficiently large reference sample, we extrapolate the treatment effect reasonably well, but the degree of accuracy depends on the extent of covariate similarity between the target and reference settings. Our results suggest that – at least for our application – there is hope for external validity.
主题	Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Labor Supply and Demand
URL	https://www.nber.org/papers/w21663
来源智库	National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
引用统计
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/579338
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	James Bisbee,Rajeev Dehejia,Cristian Pop-Eleches,et al. Local Instruments, Global Extrapolation: External Validity of the Labor Supply-Fertility Local Average Treatment Effect. 2015.