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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w21774
来源IDWorking Paper 21774
Obstfeld and Rogoff's International Macro Puzzles: A Quantitative Assessment
Jonathan Eaton; Samuel S. Kortum; Brent Neiman
发表日期2015-12-07
出版年2015
语种英语
摘要Obstfeld and Rogoff (2001) propose that trade frictions lie behind key puzzles in international macroeconomics. We take a dynamic multicountry model of international trade, production, and investment to data from 19 countries to assess this proposition quantitatively. Using the framework developed in Eaton, Kortum, Neiman, and Romalis (2016), we revisit the puzzles in a counterfactual world without trade frictions in manufactures. Removing these trade frictions goes a long way toward resolving a number of the puzzles: The dependence of domestic investment on domestic saving falls by half or disappears entirely, mitigating the Feldstein-Horioka (1980) puzzle. Changes in nominal GDPs in U.S. dollars become less variable across countries and line up with changes in real GDPs as much as with real exchange rates, mitigating the exchange rate disconnect puzzle. Less dramatically, changes in consumption become more correlated across countries, mitigating the consumption correlations puzzle and changes in real exchange rates become less variable across countries, mitigating the relative purchasing power parity puzzle.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; International Economics ; Trade ; International Macroeconomics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w21774
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/579448
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GB/T 7714
Jonathan Eaton,Samuel S. Kortum,Brent Neiman. Obstfeld and Rogoff's International Macro Puzzles: A Quantitative Assessment. 2015.
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