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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w21791 |
来源ID | Working Paper 21791 |
A New Dilemma: Capital Controls and Monetary Policy in Sudden Stop Economies | |
Michael B. Devereux; Eric R. Young; Changhua Yu | |
发表日期 | 2015-12-14 |
出版年 | 2015 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | The dangers of high capital flow volatility and sudden stops have led economists to promote the use of capital controls as an addition to monetary policy in emerging market economies. This paper studies the benefits of capital controls and monetary policy in an open economy with financial frictions, nominal rigidities, and sudden stops. We focus on a time-consistent policy equilibrium. We find that during a crisis, an optimal monetary policy should sharply diverge from price stability. Without commitment, policymakers will also tax capital inflows in a crisis. But this is not optimal from an ex-ante social welfare perspective. An outcome without capital inflow taxes, using optimal monetary policy alone to respond to crises, is superior in welfare terms, but not time-consistent. If policy commitment were in place, capital inflows would be subsidized during crises. We also show that an optimal policy will never involve macro-prudential capital inflow taxes as a precaution against the risk of future crises (whether or not commitment is available). |
主题 | Macroeconomics ; Money and Interest Rates ; Monetary Policy ; International Economics ; International Finance ; International Macroeconomics |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w21791 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/579465 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Michael B. Devereux,Eric R. Young,Changhua Yu. A New Dilemma: Capital Controls and Monetary Policy in Sudden Stop Economies. 2015. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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