| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w21812 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 21812 |
| Globalization and Its (Dis-)Content: Trade Shocks and Voting Behavior | |
| Christian Dippel; Robert Gold; Stephan Heblich | |
| 发表日期 | 2015-12-21 |
| 出版年 | 2015 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We identify the causal effect of trade-integration with China and Eastern Europe on voting in Germany from 1987 to 2009. Looking at the entire political spectrum, we find that only extreme-right parties respond significantly to trade integration. Their vote share increases with import competition and decreases with export access opportunities. We unpack mechanisms using reduced form evidence and a causal mediation analysis. Two-thirds of the total effect of trade integration on voting appears to be driven by observable labor market adjustments, primarily changes in manufacturing employment. These results are mirrored in an individual-level analysis in the German Socioeconomic Panel. |
| 主题 | Microeconomics ; Welfare and Collective Choice ; International Economics ; Trade |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w21812 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/579486 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Christian Dippel,Robert Gold,Stephan Heblich. Globalization and Its (Dis-)Content: Trade Shocks and Voting Behavior. 2015. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w21812.pdf（749KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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