| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w21829 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 21829 |
| The Paradox of Civilization: Pre-Institutional Sources of Security and Prosperity | |
| Ernesto Dal Bó; Pablo Hernández; Sebastián Mazzuca | |
| 发表日期 | 2015-12-28 |
| 出版年 | 2015 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | The rise of civilizations involved the dual emergence of economies that could produce surplus (“prosperity”) and states that could protect surplus (“security”). But the joint achievement of security and prosperity had to escape a paradox: prosperity attracts predation, and higher insecurity discourages the investments that create prosperity. We study the trade-offs facing a proto-state on its path to civilization through a formal model informed by the anthropological and historical literatures on the origin of civilizations. We emphasize pre-institutional forces, such as physical aspects of the geographical environment, that shape productive and defense capabilities. The solution of the civilizational paradox relies on high defense capabilities, natural or manmade. We show that higher initial productivity and investments that yield prosperity exacerbate conflict when defense capability is fixed, but may allow for security and prosperity when defense capability is endogenous. Some economic shocks and military innovations deliver security and prosperity while others force societies back into a trap of conflict and stagnation. We illustrate the model by analyzing the rise of civilization in Sumeria and Egypt, the first two historical cases, and the civilizational collapse at the end of the Bronze Age. |
| 主题 | Microeconomics ; Welfare and Collective Choice ; History ; Other History ; Other ; Culture |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w21829 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/579503 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ernesto Dal Bó,Pablo Hernández,Sebastián Mazzuca. The Paradox of Civilization: Pre-Institutional Sources of Security and Prosperity. 2015. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w21829.pdf（1100KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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