G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w21972
来源IDWorking Paper 21972
Healthy, Happy and Idle: Estimating the Health Capacity to Work at Older Ages in Germany
Hendrik Jürges; Lars Thiel; Axel Börsch-Supan
发表日期2016-02-08
出版年2016
语种英语
摘要After two decades of reforms that have tightened eligibility for early retirement and the generosity of social security payments, the German government has begun to turn back time and re-introduce more generous disability and early retirement benefits. Often, poor health is cited as the main reason why workers cannot work until the regular retirement age. In this chapter, we try to answer a seemingly simple question: what is the proportion of older individuals who could work in the labor market if they wanted to and if they were not limited by poor health? To answer this question, we follow two different empirical approaches with a similar logic: we estimate the link between health and labor force participation in a population whose employment patterns are or were hardly affected by the current (early) retirement incentives. Using these “pure health effects” on labor force participation to extrapolate to a population that is currently strongly affected by legislation informs us how many could not work for health reasons and how many could work. We find substantial capacity to work among the older population. We estimate that two thirds of the population would be capable of working in the labor market until they turn 70 if they wanted to.
主题Public Economics ; Taxation ; National Fiscal Issues ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Labor Supply and Demand
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w21972
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/579645
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Hendrik Jürges,Lars Thiel,Axel Börsch-Supan. Healthy, Happy and Idle: Estimating the Health Capacity to Work at Older Ages in Germany. 2016.
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