G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w22144
来源IDWorking Paper 22144
A Conceptual Framework for Understanding Critical Transitions
Lee J. Alston; Marcus André Melo; Bernardo Mueller; Carlos Pereira
发表日期2016-04-11
出版年2016
语种英语
摘要Critical transitions for a country are historical periods when the powerful organizations in a country shift from one set of beliefs about how institutions (the formal and informal rules of the game) will affect outcomes to a new set of beliefs. Critical transitions can lead a country toward more openness politically and economically or toward a more exclusionary society. Economic and political development is contextual; that is, there is no recipe. Periods of relative persistence are the norm with changes in institutions at the margin. We develop a framework consisting of several interconnected relatively unexplored concepts that we first define in a static context and then utilize to show how they produce a dynamic of institutional change or persistence. The key concepts include: windows of opportunity, beliefs, and leadership. Our major contribution is wedding the concepts of windows of opportunity, beliefs, and leadership to the dominant network, institutions, and economic and political outcomes to form a dynamic. We apply the framework illustratively to understand economic and political development in Argentina over the past 100 years.
主题History ; Other History ; Development and Growth ; Development
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w22144
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/579818
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Lee J. Alston,Marcus André Melo,Bernardo Mueller,et al. A Conceptual Framework for Understanding Critical Transitions. 2016.
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