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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w22144 |
来源ID | Working Paper 22144 |
A Conceptual Framework for Understanding Critical Transitions | |
Lee J. Alston; Marcus André Melo; Bernardo Mueller; Carlos Pereira | |
发表日期 | 2016-04-11 |
出版年 | 2016 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Critical transitions for a country are historical periods when the powerful organizations in a country shift from one set of beliefs about how institutions (the formal and informal rules of the game) will affect outcomes to a new set of beliefs. Critical transitions can lead a country toward more openness politically and economically or toward a more exclusionary society. Economic and political development is contextual; that is, there is no recipe. Periods of relative persistence are the norm with changes in institutions at the margin. We develop a framework consisting of several interconnected relatively unexplored concepts that we first define in a static context and then utilize to show how they produce a dynamic of institutional change or persistence. The key concepts include: windows of opportunity, beliefs, and leadership. Our major contribution is wedding the concepts of windows of opportunity, beliefs, and leadership to the dominant network, institutions, and economic and political outcomes to form a dynamic. We apply the framework illustratively to understand economic and political development in Argentina over the past 100 years. |
主题 | History ; Other History ; Development and Growth ; Development |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w22144 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/579818 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Lee J. Alston,Marcus André Melo,Bernardo Mueller,et al. A Conceptual Framework for Understanding Critical Transitions. 2016. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w22144.pdf(828KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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