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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w22298
来源IDWorking Paper 22298
Reverse Speculative Attacks
Manuel Amador; Javier Bianchi; Luigi Bocola; Fabrizio Perri
发表日期2016-06-06
出版年2016
语种英语
摘要In January 2015, in the face of sustained capital inflows, the Swiss National Bank abandoned the floor for the Swiss Franc against the Euro, a decision which led to the appreciation of the Swiss Franc. The objective of this paper is to present a simple framework that helps to better understand the timing of this episode, which we label a "reverse speculative attack". We model a central bank which wishes to maintain a peg, and responds to increases in demand for domestic currency by expanding its balance sheet. In contrast to the classic speculative attacks, which are triggered by the depletion of foreign assets, reverse attacks are triggered by the concern of future balance sheet losses. Our key result is that the interaction between the desire to maintain the peg and the concern about future losses can lead the central bank to first accumulate a large amount of reserves, and then to abandon the peg, just as we have observed in the Swiss case.
主题International Economics ; International Finance
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w22298
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/579971
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GB/T 7714
Manuel Amador,Javier Bianchi,Luigi Bocola,et al. Reverse Speculative Attacks. 2016.
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