G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w22299
来源IDWorking Paper 22299
A Contagious Malady? Open Economy Dimensions of Secular Stagnation
Gauti B. Eggertsson; Neil R. Mehrotra; Sanjay R. Singh; Lawrence H. Summers
发表日期2016-06-06
出版年2016
语种英语
摘要Conditions of secular stagnation - low interest rates, below target inflation, and sluggish output growth - characterize much of the global economy. We consider an overlapping generations, open economy model of secular stagnation, and examine the effect of capital flows on the transmission of stagnation. In a world with a low natural rate of interest, greater capital integration transmits recessions across countries as opposed to lower interest rates. In a global secular stagnation, expansionary fiscal policy carries positive spillovers implying gains from coordination, and fiscal policy is self-financing. Expansionary monetary policy, by contrast, is beggar-thy-neighbor with output gains in one country coming at the expense of the other. Similarly, we find that competitiveness policies including structural labor market reforms or neomercantilist trade policies are also beggar-thy-neighbor in a global secular stagnation.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Monetary Policy ; International Economics ; International Finance
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w22299
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/579972
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Gauti B. Eggertsson,Neil R. Mehrotra,Sanjay R. Singh,et al. A Contagious Malady? Open Economy Dimensions of Secular Stagnation. 2016.
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