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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w22308 |
来源ID | Working Paper 22308 |
Price Elasticities of Pharmaceuticals in a Value-Based-Formulary Setting | |
Kai Yeung; Anirban Basu; Ryan N. Hansen; Sean D. Sullivan | |
发表日期 | 2016-06-06 |
出版年 | 2016 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Ever since the seminal RAND Health insurance experiment (HIE) was conducted, most health care services, including pharmaceuticals, are deemed to be price inelastic with price elasticities of demand (PED) close to -0.20. However, most studies of PED exploit natural experiments that change demand prices for multiple components of health care. Consequently, these experiments usually do not produce estimates for the true own-price elasticities of demand but rather composite own-price elasticities that are driven by concomitant price changes to their substitutes and complements. Hence, an estimate of price elasticity is expected to vary based on the setting in which it was estimated, and likely not be applicable to other settings. In this work, exploiting a natural experiment of exogenous policy implementation of a value-based formulary (VBF) that was designed based on drug-specific incremental cost-effectiveness ratios, we estimate price elasticities of pharmaceuticals within a VBF design, formally accounting for the nature of composite elasticities that such a setting would generate. We also calculate welfare effects of such a policy using a consumer surplus approach. We show theoretically that VBF designs can increase dispersion of price elasticities of demand among pharmaceutical products compared to their true own-price elasticities and affect their magnitude based on direction of price change. Aligning these PEDs with value VBF is also likely to produce positive welfare effects. We estimate an overall PED for pharmaceuticals to be -0.16, close to the estimate of RAND HIE. However, we see substantial dispersion of PED across the VBF tiers ranging from -0.09 to -0.87 with trends aligned with the levels of value as reflected by the cost-effectiveness ratio (p<0.001). The net welfare increase was $147,000 for the cohort or $28 per member over the post-policy year. Further experimentations of VBF designs with alternative cost-effectiveness thresholds, copayment levels and value-definitions could be quite promising for improving welfare. |
主题 | Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Microeconomics ; Welfare and Collective Choice ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w22308 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/579981 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kai Yeung,Anirban Basu,Ryan N. Hansen,et al. Price Elasticities of Pharmaceuticals in a Value-Based-Formulary Setting. 2016. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w22308.pdf(471KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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