| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w22449 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 22449 |
| External Validity in a Stochastic World | |
| Mark Rosenzweig; Christopher Udry | |
| 发表日期 | 2016-07-25 |
| 出版年 | 2016 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We examine the generalizability of internally valid estimates of causal effects in a fixed population over time when that population is subject to aggregate shocks. This temporal external validity is shown to depend upon the distribution of the aggregate shocks and the interaction between these shocks and the casual effects. We show that returns to investment in agriculture, small and medium enterprises and human capital differ significantly from year to year. We also show how returns to investments interact with specific aggregate shocks, and estimate the parameters of the distributions of these shocks. We show how to use these estimates to appropriately widen estimated confidence intervals to account for aggregate shocks. |
| 主题 | Econometrics ; Experimental Design ; Development and Growth ; Development |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w22449 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580123 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Mark Rosenzweig,Christopher Udry. External Validity in a Stochastic World. 2016. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w22449.pdf（1214KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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