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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w22451 |
来源ID | Working Paper 22451 |
Heterogeneity and Unemployment Dynamics | |
Hie Joo Ahn; James D. Hamilton | |
发表日期 | 2016-07-25 |
出版年 | 2016 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper develops new estimates of flows into and out of unemployment that allow for unobserved heterogeneity across workers as well as direct effects of unemployment duration on unemployment-exit probabilities. Unlike any previous paper in this literature, we develop a complete dynamic statistical model that allows us to measure the contribution of different shocks to the short-run, medium-run, and long-run variance of unemployment as well as to specific historical episodes. We find that changes in the inflows of newly unemployed are the key driver of economic recessions and identify an increase in permanent job loss as the most important factor. |
主题 | Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w22451 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580125 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Hie Joo Ahn,James D. Hamilton. Heterogeneity and Unemployment Dynamics. 2016. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w22451.pdf(753KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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