| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w22487 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 22487 |
| Heads or Tails: The Impact of a Coin Toss on Major Life Decisions and Subsequent Happiness | |
| Steven D. Levitt | |
| 发表日期 | 2016-08-08 |
| 出版年 | 2016 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Little is known about whether people make good choices when facing important decisions. This paper reports on a large-scale randomized field experiment in which research subjects having difficulty making a decision flipped a coin to help determine their choice. For important decisions (e.g. quitting a job or ending a relationship), those who make a change (regardless of the outcome of the coin toss) report being substantially happier two months and six months later. This correlation, however, need not reflect a causal impact. To assess causality, I use the outcome of a coin toss. Individuals who are told by the coin toss to make a change are much more likely to make a change and are happier six months later than those who were told by the coin to maintain the status quo. The results of this paper suggest that people may be excessively cautious when facing life-changing choices. |
| 主题 | Microeconomics ; Households and Firms ; Economics of Information |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w22487 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580161 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Steven D. Levitt. Heads or Tails: The Impact of a Coin Toss on Major Life Decisions and Subsequent Happiness. 2016. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w22487.pdf（1114KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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