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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w22509
来源IDWorking Paper 22509
Optimal Domestic (and External) Sovereign Default
Pablo D'; Erasmo; Enrique G. Mendoza
发表日期2016-08-15
出版年2016
语种英语
摘要Infrequent but turbulent episodes of outright sovereign default on domestic creditors are considered a “forgotten history” in Macroeconomics. We propose a heterogeneous-agents model in which optimal debt and default on domestic and foreign creditors are driven by distributional incentives and endogenous default costs due to the value of debt for self-insurance, liquidity and risk-sharing. The government's aim to redistribute resources across agents and through time in response to uninsurable shocks produces a rich dynamic feedback mechanism linking debt issuance, the distribution of government bond holdings, the default decision, and risk premia. Calibrated to Spanish data, the model is consistent with key cyclical co-movements and features of debt-crisis dynamics. Debt exhibits protracted fluctuations. Defaults have a low frequency of 0.93 percent, are preceded by surging debt and spreads, and occur with relatively low external debt. Default risk limits the sustainable debt and yet spreads are zero most of the time.
主题Macroeconomics ; Fiscal Policy ; International Economics ; International Finance ; Financial Economics ; Public Economics ; National Fiscal Issues
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w22509
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580182
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GB/T 7714
Pablo D',Erasmo,Enrique G. Mendoza. Optimal Domestic (and External) Sovereign Default. 2016.
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