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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w22560
来源IDWorking Paper 22560
Africa\u2019s Prospects for Enjoying a Demographic Dividend
David E. Bloom; Michael Kuhn; Klaus Prettner
发表日期2016-08-25
出版年2016
语种英语
摘要We assess Africa’s prospects for enjoying a demographic dividend. While fertility rates and dependency ratios in Africa remain high, they have started to decline. According to UN projections, they will fall further in the coming decades such that by the mid-21st century the ratio of the working-age to dependent population will be greater than in Asia, Europe, and Northern America. This projection suggests Africa has considerable potential to enjoy a demographic dividend. Whether and when it actually materializes, and also its magnitude, hinges on policies and institutions in key realms that include macroeconomic management, human capital, trade, governance, and labor and capital markets. Given strong complementarities among these areas, coordinated policies will likely be most effective in generating the momentum needed to pull Africa’s economies out of a development trap.
主题Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Development and Growth ; Development
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w22560
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580234
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David E. Bloom,Michael Kuhn,Klaus Prettner. Africa\u2019s Prospects for Enjoying a Demographic Dividend. 2016.
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