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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w22560 |
来源ID | Working Paper 22560 |
Africa\u2019s Prospects for Enjoying a Demographic Dividend | |
David E. Bloom; Michael Kuhn; Klaus Prettner | |
发表日期 | 2016-08-25 |
出版年 | 2016 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We assess Africa’s prospects for enjoying a demographic dividend. While fertility rates and dependency ratios in Africa remain high, they have started to decline. According to UN projections, they will fall further in the coming decades such that by the mid-21st century the ratio of the working-age to dependent population will be greater than in Asia, Europe, and Northern America. This projection suggests Africa has considerable potential to enjoy a demographic dividend. Whether and when it actually materializes, and also its magnitude, hinges on policies and institutions in key realms that include macroeconomic management, human capital, trade, governance, and labor and capital markets. Given strong complementarities among these areas, coordinated policies will likely be most effective in generating the momentum needed to pull Africa’s economies out of a development trap. |
主题 | Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Development and Growth ; Development |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w22560 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580234 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | David E. Bloom,Michael Kuhn,Klaus Prettner. Africa\u2019s Prospects for Enjoying a Demographic Dividend. 2016. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w22560.pdf(291KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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