| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w22624 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 22624 |
| Agro-Ecosystem Productivity and the Dynamic Response to Shocks | |
| Jean-Paul Chavas | |
| 发表日期 | 2016-09-12 |
| 出版年 | 2016 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This paper investigates the nonlinear dynamic response to shocks, relying on a threshold quantile autoregression (TQAR) model as a flexible representation of stochastic dynamics. The TQAR model can identify zones of stability/instability and characterize resilience and traps. Resilience means high odds of escaping from undesirable zones of instability toward zones that are more desirable and stable. Traps mean low odds of escaping from zones that are both undesirable and stable. The approach is illustrated in an application to the dynamics of productivity applied to historical data on wheat yield in Kansas over the period 1885-2012. The dynamics of this agroecosystem and its response to shocks are of interest as Kansas agriculture faced major droughts, including the catastrophic Dust Bowl of the 1930’s. The analysis identifies a zone of instability in the presence of successive adverse shocks. It also finds evidence of resilience. We associate the resilience with induced innovations in management and policy in response to adverse shocks. |
| 主题 | Development and Growth ; Development ; Innovation and R& ; D ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Agriculture |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w22624 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580297 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Jean-Paul Chavas. Agro-Ecosystem Productivity and the Dynamic Response to Shocks. 2016. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w22624.pdf（596KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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