| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w22637 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 22637 |
| Importing Political Polarization? The Electoral Consequences of Rising Trade Exposure | |
| David Autor; David Dorn; Gordon Hanson; Kaveh Majlesi | |
| 发表日期 | 2016-09-19 |
| 出版年 | 2016 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Has rising import competition contributed to the polarization of U.S. politics? Analyzing outcomes from the 2002 and 2010 congressional elections and the 2000, 2008, and 2016 presidential elections, we detect an ideological realignment that is centered in trade-exposed local labor markets and that commences prior to the divisive 2016 U.S. presidential election. Exploiting the exogenous component of rising trade with China and classifying legislator ideologies by congressional voting records, we find strong evidence that congressional districts exposed to larger increases in import penetration disproportionately removed moderate representatives from office in the 2000s. Trade-exposed districts with an initial majority white population or initially in Republican hands became substantially more likely to elect a conservative Republican, while trade-exposed districts with an initial majority-minority population or initially in Democratic hands also become more likely to elect a liberal Democrat. In presidential elections, counties with greater trade exposure shifted towards the Republican candidate. We interpret these results as supporting a political economy literature that connects adverse economic conditions to support for nativist or extreme politicians. |
| 主题 | Microeconomics ; Welfare and Collective Choice ; International Economics ; Trade ; Public Economics |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w22637 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580310 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | David Autor,David Dorn,Gordon Hanson,et al. Importing Political Polarization? The Electoral Consequences of Rising Trade Exposure. 2016. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w22637.pdf（1433KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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