G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w22847
来源IDWorking Paper 22847
Take the Short Route: Equilibrium Default and Debt Maturity
Mark Aguiar; Manuel Amador; Hugo Hopenhayn; Iván Werning
发表日期2016-11-21
出版年2016
语种英语
摘要We study the interactions between sovereign debt default and maturity choice in a setting with limited commitment for repayment as well as future debt issuances. Our main finding is that under a wide range of conditions the sovereign should, as long as default is not preferable, remain passive in long-term bond markets, making payments and retiring long-term bonds as they mature but never actively issuing or buying back such bonds. The only active debt-management margin is the short-term bond market. We show that any attempt to manipulate the existing maturity profile of outstanding long-term bonds generates losses, as bond prices move against the sovereign. Our results hold regardless of the shape of the yield curve. The yield curve captures the average costs of financing at different maturities but is misleading regarding the marginal costs.
主题Macroeconomics ; Fiscal Policy ; International Economics ; International Finance ; International Macroeconomics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w22847
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580521
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GB/T 7714
Mark Aguiar,Manuel Amador,Hugo Hopenhayn,et al. Take the Short Route: Equilibrium Default and Debt Maturity. 2016.
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