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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w22863
来源IDWorking Paper 22863
Is it the \"How\" or the \"When\" that Matters in Fiscal Adjustments?
Alberto Alesina; Gualtiero Azzalini; Carlo Favero; Francesco Giavazzi; Armando Miano
发表日期2016-11-28
出版年2016
语种英语
摘要Using data from 16 OECD countries from 1981 to 2014 we study the effects on output of fiscal adjustments as a function of the composition of the adjustment – that is, whether the adjustment is mostly based on spending cuts or on tax hikes – and of the state of the business cycle when the adjustment is implemented. We find that both the “how” and the “when” matter, but the heterogeneity related to the composition is more robust across different specifications. Adjustments based upon permanent spending cuts are consistently much less costly than those based upon permanent tax increases. Our results are generally not explained by different reactions of monetary policy. However, when the domestic central bank can set interest rates – that is outside of a currency union – it appears to be able to dampen the recessionary effects of consolidations implemented during a recession.
主题Public Economics ; National Fiscal Issues
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w22863
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580537
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GB/T 7714
Alberto Alesina,Gualtiero Azzalini,Carlo Favero,et al. Is it the \"How\" or the \"When\" that Matters in Fiscal Adjustments?. 2016.
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