G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w22892
来源IDWorking Paper 22892
Bounds on Treatment Effects in Regression Discontinuity Designs with a Manipulated Running Variable
François Gerard; Miikka Rokkanen; Christoph Rothe
发表日期2016-12-05
出版年2016
语种英语
摘要The key assumption in regression discontinuity analysis is that the distribution of potential outcomes varies smoothly with the running variable around the cutoff. In many empirical contexts, however, this assumption is not credible; and the running variable is said to be manipulated in this case. In this paper, we show that while causal effects are not point identified under manipulation, they remain partially identified under a general model that covers a wide range of empirical patterns. We derive sharp bounds on causal parameters for both sharp and fuzzy designs under our general model, and show how additional structure can be used to further narrow the bounds. We use our methods to study the disincentive effect of unemployment insurance on (formal) reemployment in Brazil, and show that our bounds remain informative, despite the fact that manipulation has a sizable effect on our estimates of causal parameters.
主题Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Labor Economics ; Unemployment and Immigration
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w22892
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580565
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GB/T 7714
François Gerard,Miikka Rokkanen,Christoph Rothe. Bounds on Treatment Effects in Regression Discontinuity Designs with a Manipulated Running Variable. 2016.
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