| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w22897 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 22897 |
| Investment-less Growth: An Empirical Investigation | |
| Germán Gutiérrez; Thomas Philippon | |
| 发表日期 | 2016-12-05 |
| 出版年 | 2016 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We analyze private fixed investment in the U.S. over the past 30 years. We show that investment is weak relative to measures of profitability and valuation – particularly Tobin’s Q, and that this weakness starts in the early 2000’s. There are two broad categories of explanations: theories that predict low investment because of low Q, and theories that predict low investment despite high Q. We argue that the data does not support the first category, and we focus on the second one. We use industry-level and firm-level data to test whether under-investment relative to Q is driven by (i) financial frictions, (ii) measurement error (due to the rise of intangibles, globalization, etc), (iii) decreased competition (due to technology, regulation or common ownership), or (iv) tightened governance and/or increased short-termism. We do not find support for theories based on risk premia, financial constraints, or safe asset scarcity, and only weak support for regulatory constraints. Globalization and intangibles explain some of the trends at the industry level, but their explanatory power is quantitatively limited. On the other hand, we find fairly strong support for the competition and short-termism/governance hypotheses. Industries with more concentration and more common ownership invest less, even after controlling for current market conditions. Within each industry-year, the investment gap is driven by firms that are owned by quasi-indexers and located in industries with more concentration and more common ownership. These firms spend a disproportionate amount of free cash flows buying back their shares. |
| 主题 | Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Financial Economics ; Corporate Finance |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w22897 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580570 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Germán Gutiérrez,Thomas Philippon. Investment-less Growth: An Empirical Investigation. 2016. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w22897.pdf（670KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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