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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w22914
来源IDWorking Paper 22914
Fracking, Drilling, and Asset Pricing: Estimating the Economic Benefits of the Shale Revolution
Erik Gilje; Robert Ready; Nikolai Roussanov
发表日期2016-12-12
出版年2016
语种英语
摘要We quantify the effect of a significant technological innovation, shale oil development, on asset prices. Using stock returns on major news announcement days allows us to link aggregate stock price fluctuations to shale technology innovations. We exploit cross-sectional variation in industry portfolio returns on days of major shale oil-related news announcements to construct a shale mimicking portfolio. This portfolio can explain a significant amount of variation in aggregate stock market returns, but only during the time period of shale oil development, which begins in 2012. Our estimates imply that $3.5 trillion of the increase in aggregate U.S. equity market capitalization since 2012 can be explained by this mimicking portfolio. Similar portfolios based on major monetary policy announcements do not explain the positive market returns over this period. We also show that exposure to shale oil technology has significant explanatory power for the cross-section of employment growth rates of U.S. industries over this period.
主题Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing ; Financial Markets ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Energy
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w22914
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580587
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GB/T 7714
Erik Gilje,Robert Ready,Nikolai Roussanov. Fracking, Drilling, and Asset Pricing: Estimating the Economic Benefits of the Shale Revolution. 2016.
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