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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w22933 |
来源ID | Working Paper 22933 |
Projections and Uncertainties About Climate Change in an Era of Minimal Climate Policies | |
William D. Nordhaus | |
发表日期 | 2016-12-19 |
出版年 | 2016 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Climate change remains one of the major international environmental challenges facing nations. Up to now, nations have to date adopted minimal policies to slow climate change. Moreover, there has been no major improvement in emissions trends as of the latest data. The current study uses the updated DICE-2016R2 model to present new projections and the impacts of alternative climate policies. It also presents a new set of estimates of the uncertainties about future climate change and compares the results with those of other integrated assessment models. The study confirms past estimates of likely rapid climate change over the next century if major climate-change policies are not taken. It suggests that it is unlikely that nations can achieve the 2°C target of international agreements, even if ambitious policies are introduced in the near term. The required carbon price needed to achieve current targets has risen over time as policies have been delayed. |
主题 | Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; International Economics ; Globalization and International Relations ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Environment |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w22933 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580606 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | William D. Nordhaus. Projections and Uncertainties About Climate Change in an Era of Minimal Climate Policies. 2016. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w22933.pdf(1212KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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