全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Growth and Childbearing in the Short- and Long-Run

G2TT

来源类型	Working Paper
规范类型	报告
DOI	10.3386/w23000
来源ID	Working Paper 23000
	Growth and Childbearing in the Short- and Long-Run
	Shoumitro Chatterjee; Tom Vogl
发表日期	2017-01-02
出版年	2017
语种	英语
摘要	Despite being key to theories of economic growth and the demographic transition, evidence on how fertility responds to aggregate income change is mixed. We analyze economic growth and fertility change in the developing world over six decades, using data on 2.3 million women from 255 surveys in 81 countries. We find that fertility responds differently to fluctuations and long-run growth, and the nature of these responses varies over the lifecycle. Fertility is procyclical, falling during recessions, but also declines with long-run growth. Lifetime fertility is affected by fluctuations near the end of the reproductive period but not those at prime reproductive age. Our results are consistent with models linking demography, human capital, and long-run growth, extended to include a lifecycle with liquidity constraints.
主题	Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Development and Growth ; Growth and Productivity
URL	https://www.nber.org/papers/w23000
来源智库	National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
引用统计
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580673
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Shoumitro Chatterjee,Tom Vogl. Growth and Childbearing in the Short- and Long-Run. 2017.

条目包含的文件
文件名称/大小	资源类型	版本类型	开放类型	使用许可
w23000.pdf（698KB）	智库出版物		限制开放	CC BY-NC-SA	浏览