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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w23056 |
来源ID | Working Paper 23056 |
The Economic Origins of Conflict in Africa | |
Eoin McGuirk; Marshall Burke | |
发表日期 | 2017-01-16 |
出版年 | 2017 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We study the impact of plausibly exogenous global food price shocks on local violence across the African continent. In food-producing areas, higher food prices reduce conflict over the control of territory (what we call "factor conflict") and increase conflict over the appropriation of surplus ("output conflict"). We argue that this difference arises because higher prices raise the opportunity cost of soldiering for producers, while simultaneously inducing net consumers to appropriate increasingly valuable surplus as their real wages fall. In regions without crop agriculture, higher food prices increase both factor conflict and output conflict. We validate local-level findings on output conflict using geocoded survey data on interpersonal theft and violence against commercial farmers and traders. Ignoring the distinction between producer and consumer effects leads to attenuated estimates. Our findings help reconcile a growing but ambiguous literature on the economic roots of conflict. |
主题 | Microeconomics ; Welfare and Collective Choice ; Public Economics ; National Fiscal Issues ; Development and Growth ; Development |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w23056 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580730 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Eoin McGuirk,Marshall Burke. The Economic Origins of Conflict in Africa. 2017. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w23056.pdf(1728KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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