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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w23056
来源IDWorking Paper 23056
The Economic Origins of Conflict in Africa
Eoin McGuirk; Marshall Burke
发表日期2017-01-16
出版年2017
语种英语
摘要We study the impact of plausibly exogenous global food price shocks on local violence across the African continent. In food-producing areas, higher food prices reduce conflict over the control of territory (what we call "factor conflict") and increase conflict over the appropriation of surplus ("output conflict"). We argue that this difference arises because higher prices raise the opportunity cost of soldiering for producers, while simultaneously inducing net consumers to appropriate increasingly valuable surplus as their real wages fall. In regions without crop agriculture, higher food prices increase both factor conflict and output conflict. We validate local-level findings on output conflict using geocoded survey data on interpersonal theft and violence against commercial farmers and traders. Ignoring the distinction between producer and consumer effects leads to attenuated estimates. Our findings help reconcile a growing but ambiguous literature on the economic roots of conflict.
主题Microeconomics ; Welfare and Collective Choice ; Public Economics ; National Fiscal Issues ; Development and Growth ; Development
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w23056
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580730
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Eoin McGuirk,Marshall Burke. The Economic Origins of Conflict in Africa. 2017.
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