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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w23065
来源IDWorking Paper 23065
Disaster Risk and Asset Returns: An International Perspective
Karen K. Lewis; Edith X. Liu
发表日期2017-01-23
出版年2017
语种英语
摘要Recent studies have shown that disaster risk can generate asset return moments similar to those observed in the U.S. data. However, these studies have ignored the cross-country asset pricing implications of the disaster risk model. This paper shows that standard U.S.-based disaster risk model assumptions found in the literature lead to counterfactual international asset pricing implications. Given consumption pricing moments, disaster risk cannot explain the range of equity premia and government bill rates nor the high degree of equity return correlation found in the data. Moreover, the independence of disasters presumed in some studies generates counterfactually low cross-country correlations in equity markets. Alternatively, if disasters are all shared, the model generates correlations that are excessively high. We show that common and idiosyncratic components of disaster risk are needed to explain the pattern in consumption and equity co-movements.
主题International Economics ; International Finance ; International Macroeconomics ; Financial Economics ; Financial Markets
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w23065
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580739
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Karen K. Lewis,Edith X. Liu. Disaster Risk and Asset Returns: An International Perspective. 2017.
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