| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w23077 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 23077 |
| Secular Stagnation? The Effect of Aging on Economic Growth in the Age of Automation | |
| Daron Acemoglu; Pascual Restrepo | |
| 发表日期 | 2017-01-23 |
| 出版年 | 2017 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Several recent theories emphasize the negative effects of an aging population on economic growth, either because of the lower labor force participation and productivity of older workers or because aging will create an excess of savings over desired investment, leading to secular stagnation. We show that there is no such negative relationship in the data. If anything, countries experiencing more rapid aging have grown more in recent decades. We suggest that this counterintuitive finding might reflect the more rapid adoption of automation technologies in countries undergoing more pronounced demographic changes, and provide evidence and theoretical underpinnings for this argument. |
| 主题 | Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Labor Supply and Demand ; Development and Growth ; Innovation and R& ; D ; Growth and Productivity ; Country Studies |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w23077 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580751 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Daron Acemoglu,Pascual Restrepo. Secular Stagnation? The Effect of Aging on Economic Growth in the Age of Automation. 2017. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w23077.pdf（141KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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