| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w23081 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 23081 |
| Aggregating the Fertility Transition: Intergenerational Dynamics in Quality and Quantity | |
| Tom Vogl | |
| 发表日期 | 2017-01-23 |
| 出版年 | 2017 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Fertility change is distinct from other forms of social and economic change because it directly alters the size and composition of the next generation. This paper studies how changes in population composition over the fertility transition feed back into the evolution of average fertility across generations. Theory predicts that changes in the relationship between human capital and fertility first weaken and then strengthen fertility similarities between mothers and daughters, a process that first promotes and then restricts aggregate fertility decline. Consistent with these predictions, microdata from 40 developing countries over the second half of the 20th century show that intergenerational fertility associations strengthen late in the fertility transition, due to the alignment of the education-fertility relationship across generations. As fertility approaches the replacement level, the strengthening of these associations reweights the population to raise aggregate fertility rates, pushing back against aggregate fertility decline. |
| 主题 | Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Development and Growth ; Development ; Growth and Productivity |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w23081 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580755 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Tom Vogl. Aggregating the Fertility Transition: Intergenerational Dynamics in Quality and Quantity. 2017. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w23081.pdf（598KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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