| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w23110 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 23110 |
| Are Protests Games of Strategic Complements or Substitutes? Experimental Evidence from Hong Kong's Democracy Movement | |
| Davide Cantoni; David Y. Yang; Noam Yuchtman; Y. Jane Zhang | |
| 发表日期 | 2017-01-30 |
| 出版年 | 2017 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | The decision to protest is strategic: an individual's participation is a function of her beliefs about others' turnout. Models of protest often assume strategic complementarity; however, the challenge of collective action suggests strategic substitutability. We conduct the first field experiment directly manipulating individuals' beliefs about others' protest participation, in the context of Hong Kong's pro-democracy movement. We elicit university students' planned participation in an upcoming protest and their prior beliefs about others' participation, in an incentivized manner. One day before the protest, we randomly provide a subset of subjects with truthful information about others' protest plans, and elicit posterior beliefs about protest turnout, again in an incentivized manner. This allows us to identify the causal effects of positively and negatively updated beliefs about others' protest participation on subjects' turnout. We consistently find evidence of strategic substitutes. Analysis of control group subjects and survey evidence reinforce our experimental findings. |
| 主题 | Microeconomics ; Welfare and Collective Choice ; Economics of Information ; Other ; Economic Systems |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w23110 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580784 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Davide Cantoni,David Y. Yang,Noam Yuchtman,et al. Are Protests Games of Strategic Complements or Substitutes? Experimental Evidence from Hong Kong's Democracy Movement. 2017. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w23110.pdf（493KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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