全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Re-examining the Middle-Income Trap Hypothesis (MITH): What to Reject and What to Revive?

G2TT

来源类型	Working Paper
规范类型	报告
DOI	10.3386/w23126
来源ID	Working Paper 23126
	Re-examining the Middle-Income Trap Hypothesis (MITH): What to Reject and What to Revive?
	Xuehui Han; Shang-Jin Wei
发表日期	2017-02-06
出版年	2017
语种	英语
摘要	Do middle-income countries face difficult challenges producing consistent growth? Using transition matrix analysis, we can easily reject any unconditional notion of a “middle-income trap” in the data. However, countries have different fundamentals and policies. Using a nonparametric classification technique, we search for variables that separate fast- and slow-growing countries. For middle-income countries, a relatively large working age population, sex ratio imbalance, macroeconomic stability, and financial development appear to be the key discriminatory variables. We do the same exercise for low-income countries. This framework yields conditions under which countries in the low- and middle-income ranges move forward or backward, or are trapped.
主题	Development and Growth ; Development ; Growth and Productivity
URL	https://www.nber.org/papers/w23126
来源智库	National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
引用统计
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580800
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Xuehui Han,Shang-Jin Wei. Re-examining the Middle-Income Trap Hypothesis (MITH): What to Reject and What to Revive?. 2017.