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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w23142 |
来源ID | Working Paper 23142 |
Revisions in Utilization-Adjusted TFP and Robust Identification of News Shocks | |
André Kurmann; Eric Sims | |
发表日期 | 2017-02-13 |
出版年 | 2017 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper documents large revisions in a widely-used series of utilization-adjusted total factor productivity (TFP) by Fernald (2014) and shows that these revisions can materially affect empirical conclusions about the macroeconomic effects of news shocks. We propose an alternative identification that is robust to measurement issues with TFP, including the revisions in Fernald’s series. When applied to U.S. data, the shock predicts sustained future productivity growth while simultaneously generating strong impact responses of novel indicators of technological innovation and forward-looking information variables. The shock does, however, not lead to comovement in macroeconomic aggregates as typically associated with business cycle fluctuations. |
主题 | Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Business Cycles ; Development and Growth ; Growth and Productivity |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w23142 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580816 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | André Kurmann,Eric Sims. Revisions in Utilization-Adjusted TFP and Robust Identification of News Shocks. 2017. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w23142.pdf(584KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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