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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w23142
来源IDWorking Paper 23142
Revisions in Utilization-Adjusted TFP and Robust Identification of News Shocks
André Kurmann; Eric Sims
发表日期2017-02-13
出版年2017
语种英语
摘要This paper documents large revisions in a widely-used series of utilization-adjusted total factor productivity (TFP) by Fernald (2014) and shows that these revisions can materially affect empirical conclusions about the macroeconomic effects of news shocks. We propose an alternative identification that is robust to measurement issues with TFP, including the revisions in Fernald’s series. When applied to U.S. data, the shock predicts sustained future productivity growth while simultaneously generating strong impact responses of novel indicators of technological innovation and forward-looking information variables. The shock does, however, not lead to comovement in macroeconomic aggregates as typically associated with business cycle fluctuations.
主题Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Business Cycles ; Development and Growth ; Growth and Productivity
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w23142
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580816
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André Kurmann,Eric Sims. Revisions in Utilization-Adjusted TFP and Robust Identification of News Shocks. 2017.
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