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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w23147
来源IDWorking Paper 23147
Austerity in the Aftermath of the Great Recession
Christopher L. House; Christian Proebsting; Linda L. Tesar
发表日期2017-02-13
出版年2017
语种英语
摘要We examine austerity in advanced economies since the Great Recession. Austerity shocks are reductions in government purchases that exceed reduced-form forecasts. Austerity shocks are statistically associated with lower real GDP, lower inflation and higher net exports. We estimate a cross-sectional multiplier of roughly 2. A multi-country DSGE model calibrated to 29 advanced economies generates a multiplier consistent with the data. Counterfactuals suggest that eliminating austerity would have substantially reduced output losses in Europe. Austerity shocks were sufficiently contractionary that debt-to-GDP ratios in some European countries increased as a consequence of endogenous reductions in GDP and tax revenue.
主题Macroeconomics ; Fiscal Policy ; International Economics ; International Macroeconomics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w23147
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580821
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Christopher L. House,Christian Proebsting,Linda L. Tesar. Austerity in the Aftermath of the Great Recession. 2017.
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