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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w23284
来源IDWorking Paper 23284
Students in Distress: Labor Market Shocks, Student Loan Default, and Federal Insurance Programs
Holger M. Mueller; Constantine Yannelis
发表日期2017-03-27
出版年2017
语种英语
摘要The collapse in home prices during the Great Recession triggered a sharp drop in consumer demand by households, leading to massive employment losses. This paper examines the implications of these labor market shocks for the dramatic rise in student loan defaults, which originated during this time period. Linking administrative student loan data at the individual borrower level to de-identified tax records and exploiting Zip code level variation in home price changes, we show that the drop in home prices during the Great Recession accounts for approximately 24 to 32 percent of the increase in student loan defaults. Consistent with a labor market channel, we find a strong relationship between home prices, employment losses, and student loan defaults at the individual borrower level, which is concentrated among low income jobs. Comparing the default responses of home owners and renters, we find no evidence of a direct liquidity effect of home prices on student loan defaults. Lastly, we show that the Income Based Repayment (IBR) program introduced by the federal government in the wake of the Great Recession reduced both student loan defaults and their sensitivity to home price fluctuations, thus providing student loan borrowers with valuable insurance against adverse income shocks.
主题Public Economics ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Education ; Labor Economics ; Labor Supply and Demand
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w23284
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580958
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Holger M. Mueller,Constantine Yannelis. Students in Distress: Labor Market Shocks, Student Loan Default, and Federal Insurance Programs. 2017.
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