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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w23311
来源IDWorking Paper 23311
Measuring the Effects of Federal Reserve Forward Guidance and Asset Purchases on Financial Markets
Eric T. Swanson
发表日期2017-04-10
出版年2017
语种英语
摘要I extend the methods of G¨urkaynak, Sack, and Swanson (2005) to separately identify the effects of Federal Reserve forward guidance and large-scale asset purchases (LSAPs) during the 2009–15 U.S. zero lower bound (ZLB) period. I find that both forward guidance and LSAPs had substantial and highly statistically significant effects, comparable in magnitude to the effects of the federal funds rate before the ZLB. Forward guidance was more effective than LSAPs at moving short-term Treasury yields, while LSAPs were more effective than forward guidance and the federal funds rate at moving longer-term Treasury and corporate bond yields. I estimate that the effects of LSAP announcements were very persistent, with the exception of the very large and perhaps special March 2009 “QE1” announcement. The effects of forward guidance are slightly less persistent, but the difference is not statistically significant and is likely due to the FOMC’s forward guidance announcements having a relatively shorter horizon.
主题Macroeconomics ; Money and Interest Rates ; Monetary Policy
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w23311
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580985
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Eric T. Swanson. Measuring the Effects of Federal Reserve Forward Guidance and Asset Purchases on Financial Markets. 2017.
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