| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w23323 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 23323 |
| China's GDP Growth May be Understated | |
| Hunter Clark; Maxim Pinkovskiy; Xavier Sala-i-Martin | |
| 发表日期 | 2017-04-17 |
| 出版年 | 2017 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Concerns about the quality of China’s official GDP statistics have been a perennial question in understanding its economic dynamics. We use data on satellite-recorded nighttime lights as an independent benchmark for comparing various published indicators of the state of the Chinese economy. Using the methodology of Pinkovskiy and Sala-i-Martin (2016a and b), we exploit nighttime lights to compute the optimal weights for various Chinese economic indicators in a best unbiased predictor of Chinese growth rates. Our computations of Chinese growth based on optimal weightings of various combinations of economic indicators provide evidence against the hypothesis that the Chinese economy contracted precipitously in late 2015, and are consistent with the rate of Chinese growth being higher than is reported in the official statistics. |
| 主题 | International Economics |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w23323 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/580997 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Hunter Clark,Maxim Pinkovskiy,Xavier Sala-i-Martin. China's GDP Growth May be Understated. 2017. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w23323.pdf（429KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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