G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w23371
来源IDWorking Paper 23371
Lifetime Incomes in the United States over Six Decades
Fatih Guvenen; Greg Kaplan; Jae Song; Justin Weidner
发表日期2017-05-01
出版年2017
语种英语
摘要Using panel data on individual labor income histories from 1957 to 2013, we document two empirical facts about the distribution of lifetime income in the United States. First, from the cohort that entered the labor market in 1967 to the cohort that entered in 1983, median lifetime income of men declined by 10%–19%. We find little-to-no rise in the lower three-quarters of the percentiles of the male lifetime income distribution during this period. Accounting for rising employer-provided health and pension benefits partly mitigates these findings but does not alter the substantive conclusions. For women, median lifetime income increased by 22%–33% from the 1957 to the 1983 cohort, but these gains were relative to very low lifetime income for the earliest cohort. Much of the difference between newer and older cohorts is attributed to differences in income during the early years in the labor market. Partial life-cycle profiles of income observed for cohorts that are currently in the labor market indicate that the stagnation of lifetime incomes is unlikely to reverse. Second, we find that inequality in lifetime incomes has increased significantly within each gender group. However, the closing lifetime gender gap has kept overall lifetime inequality virtually flat. The increase within gender groups is largely attributed to an increase in inequality at young ages, and partial life-cycle income data for younger cohorts indicate that the increase in inequality is likely to continue. Overall, our findings point to the substantial changes in labor market outcomes for younger workers as a critical driver of trends in both the level and inequality of lifetime income over the past 50 years.
主题Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Labor Economics ; Labor Supply and Demand ; Labor Compensation
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w23371
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581045
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Fatih Guvenen,Greg Kaplan,Jae Song,et al. Lifetime Incomes in the United States over Six Decades. 2017.
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