| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w23408 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 23408 |
| Male Earnings, Marriageable Men, and Nonmarital Fertility: Evidence from the Fracking Boom | |
| Melissa S. Kearney; Riley Wilson | |
| 发表日期 | 2017-05-15 |
| 出版年 | 2017 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | There has been a well-documented retreat from marriage among less educated individuals in the U.S. and non-marital childbearing has become the norm among young mothers and mothers with low levels of education. One hypothesis is that the declining economic position of men in these populations is at least partially responsible for these trends. That leads to the reverse hypothesis that an increase in potential earnings of less-educated men would correspondingly lead to an increase in marriage and a reduction in non-marital births. To investigate this possibility, we empirically exploit the positive economic shock associated with localized “fracking booms” throughout the U.S. in recent decades. We confirm that these localized fracking booms led to increased wages for non-college-educated men. A reduced form analysis reveals that in response to local-area fracking production, both marital and non-marital births increase and there is no evidence of an increase in marriage rates. The pattern of results is consistent with positive income effects on births, but no associated increase in marriage. We compare our findings to the family formation response to the Appalachian coal boom experience of the 1970s and 1980s, when it appears that marital births and marriage rates increased, but non-marital births did not. This contrast potentially suggests important interactions between economic forces and social context. |
| 主题 | Health, Education, and Welfare ; Poverty and Wellbeing ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Regional and Urban Economics |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w23408 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581082 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Melissa S. Kearney,Riley Wilson. Male Earnings, Marriageable Men, and Nonmarital Fertility: Evidence from the Fracking Boom. 2017. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w23408.pdf（878KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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