G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w23452
来源IDWorking Paper 23452
An Equilibrium Model of Housing and Mortgage Markets with State-Contingent Lending Contracts
Tomasz Piskorski; Alexei Tchistyi
发表日期2017-05-29
出版年2017
语种英语
摘要We develop a tractable general equilibrium framework of housing and mortgage markets with aggregate and idiosyncratic risks, costly liquidity and strategic defaults, empirically relevant informational asymmetries, and endogenous mortgage design. We show that adverse selection plays an important role in shaping the form of an equilibrium contract. If borrowers' homeownership values are known, aggregate wages and house prices determine the optimal state-contingent mortgage payments, which efficiently reduces the costs of liquidity default. However, when lenders are uncertain about homeownership values, the equilibrium contract only depends on house prices and takes the form of a home equity insurance mortgage (HEIM) that eliminates the strategic default option and insures the borrower's equity position. Interestingly, we show that widespread adoption of such loans has ambiguous effects on the homeownership rate and household welfare. In economies in which recessions are expected to be severe, the HEIM equilibrium Pareto dominates the equilibrium with fixed-rate mortgages. However, if economic downturns are not severe, HEIMs can lower the homeownership rate and make some marginal home buyers worse-off. We also note that adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) may share some benefits with HEIMs, which may help justify a high concentration of ARMs among riskier borrowers. Finally, we find that unrestricted competition between lenders may lead to a non-existence of equilibrium. This suggests that government-sponsored enterprises may stabilize mortgage markets by subsidizing certain mortgage contracts.
主题Microeconomics ; Households and Firms ; General Equilibrium ; Macroeconomics ; Money and Interest Rates ; Financial Economics ; Financial Institutions
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w23452
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581125
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Tomasz Piskorski,Alexei Tchistyi. An Equilibrium Model of Housing and Mortgage Markets with State-Contingent Lending Contracts. 2017.
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