G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w23474
来源IDWorking Paper 23474
Taper Tantrums: QE, its Aftermath and Emerging Market Capital Flows
Anusha Chari; Karlye Dilts Stedman; Christian Lundblad
发表日期2017-06-05
出版年2017
语种英语
摘要This paper provides a novel perspective on the impact of U.S. unconventional monetary policy (UMP) on emerging market capital flows and asset prices. Using high-frequency Treasury futures data to identify U.S. monetary policy shocks, we find, through the lens of an affine term structure model, that these shocks represent revisions to both the expected path of short-term interest rates and required risk compensation. The risk compensation component is especially important during the UMP periods. Further, we find that these high-frequency policy shocks do exhibit sizable effects on U.S. holdings of emerging market assets and their valuations. We also document that the relative effects of U.S. monetary policy shocks are larger for emerging asset returns relative to physical capital flows, and they are largest for emerging equity markets relative to fixed income markets. Last, these effects are largest when the Federal Reserve is engaged in “tapering” its large-scale asset purchase program.
主题Macroeconomics ; Monetary Policy ; Fiscal Policy ; International Economics ; International Finance ; International Macroeconomics ; Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing ; Financial Markets
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w23474
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581148
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Anusha Chari,Karlye Dilts Stedman,Christian Lundblad. Taper Tantrums: QE, its Aftermath and Emerging Market Capital Flows. 2017.
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