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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w23510 |
来源ID | Working Paper 23510 |
Right-to-Carry Laws and Violent Crime: A Comprehensive Assessment Using Panel Data and a State-Level Synthetic Control Analysis | |
John J. Donohue; Abhay Aneja; Kyle D. Weber | |
发表日期 | 2017-06-19 |
出版年 | 2017 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper uses more complete state panel data (through 2014) and new statistical techniques to estimate the impact on violent crime when states adopt right-to-carry (RTC) concealed handgun laws. Our preferred panel data regression specification, unlike the statistical model of Lott and Mustard that had previously been offered as evidence of crime-reducing RTC laws, both satisfies the parallel trends assumption and generates statistically significant estimates showing RTC laws increase overall violent crime. Our synthetic control approach also strongly confirms that RTC laws are associated with 13-15 percent higher aggregate violent crime rates ten years after adoption. Using a consensus estimate of the elasticity of crime with respect to incarceration of 0.15, the average RTC state would need to roughly double its prison population to offset the increase in violent crime caused by RTC adoption. |
主题 | Other ; Law and Economics |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w23510 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581183 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | John J. Donohue,Abhay Aneja,Kyle D. Weber. Right-to-Carry Laws and Violent Crime: A Comprehensive Assessment Using Panel Data and a State-Level Synthetic Control Analysis. 2017. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w23510.pdf(1961KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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