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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w23549 |
来源ID | Working Paper 23549 |
Expect Above Average Temperatures: Identifying the Economic Impacts of Climate Change | |
Derek Lemoine | |
发表日期 | 2017-06-26 |
出版年 | 2017 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | A rapidly growing empirical literature seeks to estimate the costs of future climate change from time series variation in weather. I formally analyze the consequences of a change in climate for economic outcomes. I show that those consequences are driven by changes in the distribution of realized weather and by expectations channels that capture how anticipated changes in the distribution of weather affect current and past investments. Studies that rely on time series variation in weather omit the expectations channels. Quantifying the expectations channels requires estimating how forecasts affect outcome variables and simulating how climate change would alter forecasts. |
主题 | Microeconomics ; Economics of Information ; Public Economics ; Public Goods ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Agriculture ; Environment |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w23549 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581222 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Derek Lemoine. Expect Above Average Temperatures: Identifying the Economic Impacts of Climate Change. 2017. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w23549.pdf(380KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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