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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w23578
来源IDWorking Paper 23578
Income Mobility, Income Risk and Welfare
Tom Krebs; Pravin Krishna; William F. Maloney
发表日期2017-07-17
出版年2017
语种英语
摘要This paper presents a framework for the quantitative analysis of individual income dynamics, mobility and welfare, with ex-ante identical individuals facing a stochastic income process and market incompleteness implying that they are unable to insure against persistent shocks to income. We show how the parameters of the income process can be estimated using repeated cross-sectional data with a short panel dimension, and use a simple consumption-saving model for quantitative analysis of mobility and welfare. Our empirical application, using data on individual incomes from Mexico, provides striking results. Most of measured income mobility is driven by measurement error or transitory income shocks and therefore (almost) welfare-neutral. Only a small part of measured income mobility is due to either welfare-reducing income risk or welfare-enhancing catching-up of low-income individuals with high-income individuals, both of which, nevertheless, have economically significant effects on social welfare. Strikingly, roughly half of the mobility that cannot be attributed to measurement error or transitory income shocks is driven by welfare-reducing persistent income shocks. Decomposing mobility into its fundamental components is thus crucial from the standpoint of welfare evaluation.
主题International Economics ; Labor Economics ; Unemployment and Immigration
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w23578
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581252
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Tom Krebs,Pravin Krishna,William F. Maloney. Income Mobility, Income Risk and Welfare. 2017.
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