| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w23601 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 23601 |
| The Economic Burden of Chronic Diseases: Estimates and Projections for China, Japan, and South Korea | |
| David E. Bloom; Simiao Chen; Michael Kuhn; Mark E. McGovern; Les Oxley; Klaus Prettner | |
| 发表日期 | 2017-07-24 |
| 出版年 | 2017 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We propose a novel framework to analyse the macroeconomic impact of noncommunicable diseases. We incorporate measures of disease prevalence into a human capital augmented production function, which enables us to determine the economic costs of chronic health conditions in terms of foregone gross domestic product (GDP). Unlike previously adopted frameworks, this approach allows us to account for i) variations in human capital for workers in different age groups, ii) mortality and morbidity effects of non-communicable diseases, and iii) the treatment costs of diseases. We apply our methodology to China, Japan, and South Korea, and estimate the economic burden of chronic conditions in five domains (cardiovascular diseases, cancer, respiratory diseases, diabetes, and mental health conditions). Overall, total losses associated with these non-communicable diseases over the period 2010-2030 are $16 trillion for China (measured in real USD with the base year 2010), $5.7 trillion for Japan, and $1.5 trillion for South Korea. Our results also highlight the limits of cost-effectiveness analysis by identifying some intervention strategies to reduce disease prevalence in China that are cost beneficial and therefore a rational use of resources, though they are not cost-effective as judged by conventional thresholds. |
| 主题 | Public Economics ; National Fiscal Issues ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; Labor Economics ; Labor Supply and Demand ; Development and Growth ; Development |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w23601 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/581275 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | David E. Bloom,Simiao Chen,Michael Kuhn,et al. The Economic Burden of Chronic Diseases: Estimates and Projections for China, Japan, and South Korea. 2017. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w23601.pdf（458KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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